Sharp fall in UK retail job numbers with more declines expected

The number of people employed in UK retail jobs fell at the fastest rate since February 2009 in the year to August, according to the findings of a new survey.

The Confederation of British Industry’s monthly distributive trades survey also showed an even sharper decline is anticipated in the 12 months to September.

Among the 128 respondents, 63 retailers were questioned. Wholesalers and motor traders also took part.

The results also showed a slight fall in retail sales on a year ago. The decline was broad-based across sectors, with grocers and furniture firms among some of the only ones seeing growth.

High Street retailers were already grappling with headwinds such as high business rates and consumer uncertainty before the coronavirus outbreak.

Alpesh Paleja, CBI lead economist, said: “The furlough scheme has proved effective at insulating workers and businesses in some of the worst-hit sectors during the pandemic, but these findings reinforce fears that many job losses have been delayed rather that avoided."

Paleja added: “Indeed, the latest survey shows that trading conditions for the retail sector remain tough, even against the backdrop of business slowly returning. Firms will be wary of deteriorating household incomes and the risk of further local lockdowns potentially hitting them in the pocket for a second time.

“As a result, further support may well be needed for the retail sector if demand continues to disappoint. Extending business rates relief will go a long way towards alleviating pressure on retailers’ cash flow.”

However the findings did point to some positivity, with retailers expecting a moderate improvement in the business situation in the coming quarter.